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PeaceWatch Volume 6 #4
  February 21, 2004

Iran Elections: The end of Free - for now

Those who like to watch rigged wrestling matches on television probably got a kick out of the "great struggle" between reformists and conservatives in Iran that has been going on for several years, played out in successive bouts. Friday, they played what was probably the decisive bout. No doubt about it. The fellow in the white trunks took a beating from the Mullah the Mauler from Qom. The bad guys won this time.

There was never any doubt about the outcome. It doesn't really matter who is elected to parliament, because parliament (majlis) has no power. Nonetheless, just to make absolutely certain, the Governing Council took care to rig the elections.

Regimes like the one in Iran know that the public will to resist can be broken by a timely and healthy dose of cynical repression. In Iran, it was administered in the best tradition of Joseph Stalin, the great Soviet humorist, and his emulators. About 2,500 reform candidates were banned for being "un-Islamic" and the principle opposition newspapers were shut down.

The reform movement, if there ever was one, was more or less clueless about what to do. They couldn't even organize a proper boycott. Many reformists including Nobel Prize winner Shirin Abaddi, called for boycotting the elections, but reformist President Khatami called for a large turnout, and asked people to vote for whatever reform candidates were allowed to run. No that it matters. Though bloggers reported that streets were empty and that only old people were voting, the government mysteriously reported record turnouts, and of course, the figures will bear them out. Rumors circulated that the government had printed 2 million fake IDs, but these were probably an underestimate. One wonders why they bother to go through the charade of counting the ballots. As Joe Stalin once remarked, in elections it doesn't doesn't make any difference who casts the votes, it matters who counts the ballots. These are elections Middle East style. These are the kind of elections that the Ayat Allah (Ayatollah) Sistani in Iraq wants to copy from his fellow Ayatollahs across the border. The only surprise about these "elections" is that some people were surprised. In the Daily Star, David Hirst finally "discovered" that the fanatic regime of the Ayatollahs is worse than that of the Shah. It took him 25 years to catch on. Some folks are slow.

Many Iranians were somehow naive enough to believe in 1979 that the rule of religious fanatics would bring democracy, and supported the reactionary "revolution" of the Ayatollahs. It is time for the last starry-eyed idealist in Iran to wake up. It is true that that American attempt to force democracy on the Iraq people "whether they want it or not" seems to be headed for a fiasco. However, it is equally obvious that the current Iranian regime will never willingly allow real democracy. If the Shi'a Ayatollah Sistani of Iraq has his way, he will institute the same same sort of "democracy" in Iraq. "Sistani-ism" will take its place alongside Khomeini-ism. Clearly, those who kept telling us that the Iranian revolution will evolve into democracy, or is evolving, into democracy, have a good deal of explaining to do. Perhaps they can blame it all on the Americans, or the Mossad.

These are the sort of elections that returned Saddam Hussein in Iraq with 100% support not too long ago. They are good enough for Mubarak in Egypt and good enough for Assad in Syria, so why shouldn't they be good enough for the Iranians? Democracy Middle East style, without pernicious Western intervention no doubt. The process is the same, whether it is for an Islamic party or a Syrian or Iraqi Baath party or Mubarak's party.

There is a joke making the rounds in Egypt about such "elections." During the Presidential referendum, an Egyptian decided that he would tick the 'No' box. When his friends at the cafe found out, they put the fear of God into him as to what consequence might follow for him and his family. Truly terrified, he went back to the head of the polling station and pleaded with him to correct "the mistake". The official looked at the man long and hard before patting him on the shoulder and saying: "Well, we have already changed it for you this time, but don't you ever do any such thing again."

The joke is just a joke, but in such regimes, the reality is more tragicomic than any joke. From an Iranian Web log:

Yesterday at the public swimming pool, two middle-aged ladies were chatting by the shallow end... I had also gone to that area... Near where the filtered water is returned to the pool... People like to stand around there... It feels a bit like a Jacuzzi... The older woman who was also a bit heavier was saying; "I'll be forced to vote on Friday... because I'm a retiree... I'm worried that if my ID card doesn't show the election stamp, they may stop my retirement pension... And my daughter is also a university student and it my affect her too..." The other woman who was wearing way too much make-up replied somewhat irritably; "What is all this talk? I'm on a pension too but the section on my card for election stamps, is cleaner than a Mullah's rear-end" ...

The way she talked, did not suit her grace... and although the past two or three years on the Internet my eyes and ears have been opened to so much, I still have not had the privilege of a pilgrimage to any Mullah's rear-end to judge it's cleanliness.

She then said that she has a son who is an MD, another son that is an engineer and her daughter has studied law and neither one has ever voted, and without having suffered from it. Then the chubbier lady said; "Yes, but then if they want to leave the country or become somebody here, you'll understand!" The other woman replied "In fact, they traveled abroad too and one is an assistant professor in university and attends seminars all over the world regularly...They make up these stories to get us to vote"

Apparently, most people didn't believe they were really free to not vote, or else the authorities helped them along and improved the election results. Pretty soon, the blogs may be closed down too, since the conservatives have long wanted to crack down on them.

The election results in Iran don't tell us anything we didn't really know before. The Ayatollahs are in charge. They were always in charge, and left to themselves, they will always be in charge. It is an illusion to believe as blogger (and former vice-Presidential candidate) Mohammad Ali Abtahi says he believes, that an Islamic Republic is compatible with democracy. The whole point of having the Ayatollahs in charge is to prevent democracy and free thinking. The Shi'a radicals evolved or invented a new "tradition" of Marj al-Taqlid which means emulation of worthy ones. This translates into following the religious ideas of a few "worthy" religious leaders, rather than arriving at conclusions by reason (ijtihad ). To this was added the idea that religion must dictate the affairs of the state as well. The combination produces the Iranian equivalent of the Fuhrerprinzip, - the "leadership principle" that Hitler used to justify his dictatorship. In Iran, perhaps it is the "Ayatollahprinzip." Whatever the Governing Council says is right must be right, because they say it is right. No two ways about it. It is forbidden by law to criticize the Supreme Leader. You can believe that Iran must be a dictatorship because it is a theocracy, or you can believe that the religious ideology is just window dressing for the usual megalomania of Middle East rulers, but anyway you look at it, there could be only one real winning party in this election.

All the childish illusions of certain polyanna scholars in the USA, that such regimes would evolve into democracy, are shown to be what they most obviously were from the start: foolish delusions. All the hopeful and naive initiatives of reform from within are premature. President Khatami, if he wasn't discredited before, is probably discredited now, and the reform movement in Iran is without an effective political leadership. It may be Khatami's "fault," but surely it is beside the point to say that the movement might have succeeded with more effective and assertive and skillful leadership. If there had been any chance that Khatami might be effective, it would've been very hazardous to his health, and he would have been removed. That is what happens when you try to fight city hall in such regimes.

Perhaps the saddest thing is that friends of democracy outside Iran can do very little. Negotiating with the Ayatollahs, as some have suggested, perpetuates the regime and lends it legitimacy. Those who advocate better relations with the Iranian government are not serving the best interests of the Iranian people. On the other hand, mindless "mullah-bashing" and Iran-bashing does just as much harm. The conservatives made good use of America-hate to get people out to the polls. According to Al-Jazeerah:

Senior figures in the regime campaigned against a call by prominent outgoing reformers for a boycott, playing on nationalist and Islamic sentiment by calling each ballot cast a "bullet into the heart" of US President George Bush.

We will not doubt be reminded by the usual false patriots of Middle East and apologists for tyranny that Bush of course, is not one to pontificate about honest elections. That may be true, but there really is no comparison between the USA and Iran. Racial problems in the US that were frequently pointed out by Pravda in the "good old days" should not have detracted from understanding and condemning the nature of the Soviet regime, and the tyranny of Joseph Stalin in the 1930s was not a valid reason for ignoring the nature of the Nazi regime.

One is reminded of the probably apocryphal graveyard epitaph in the USA:

Last night our little baby died;
It did not scream or holler;
It cost us 40 dollars;
It was a lousy baby anyhow.

The "reform" regime of Khatami had little power. It was little more than a sop by the Ayatollahs to disillusioned Iranians, and a way to give greedy Western businessmen and their hireling apologists some window dressing that would perfume the stench of doing business with the Mullahs. When it threatened to get out of hand, it was quashed. Last night the Iranian "reformist" regime died, it was a lousy reform anyhow.

Though there is little anyone could do perhaps, the silence of the UN, Amnesty International, Human Rights watch and other groups about the election travesty in Iran is deafening. Iranian reformists have a dream of a UN supervised referendum that would end the regime of the Mullahs. But this dream has nothing to do with reality. Justice and freedom and rights are only slogans for organizations to collect money, justify their existence, and allow them to fight whomever they don't like at the moment. The UN is busy assisting the Ayatollah Sistani and his friends into power in Iraq, they have no time to deal with Iran.

It is no laughing matter. People will go to jail and some will die, just as they died in Hungary and East Germany and Czechoslovakia in the Soviet years. But there is an end to every tyranny. The false dawn of liberty in Iran is gone, and it may be many years before it dawns in earnest, but it will come. The sun of liberty cannot be forced to rise by foreign intervention alone; deposition of the Mullahs by Western powers would convert them from detested tyrants into patriotic heros. That is hardly an excuse for Western governments to grovel before the whims of the Mullahs, ignore human rights violations, support for terror and nuclear weapons programs. However, freedom must come from Iran by the efforts of the Iran Until then, our sympathies must be with all those who yearn for freedom in Iran. We must do it, because nobody else will apparently.

BLOGS AND ONLINE NEWS ABOUT IRAN
Some blogs and sites that have updated news and views about Iran:

Iran Filter - Reformist news from Iran
Iran Filter Collective Election Blog - summaries of postings about the elections translated from Persian and entered by Iranian bloggers.
English Language Website of Mohammad Ali Abtahi
Blogs By Iranians - A master blog of blogs
Sobhaneh -Farsi language reformist site
USA Blog
"Hoder" - Hossein Derakhshan's fearless and excellent blog in English - originates in Canada
"Hoder" - Hossein Derakhshan's blog in Persian - originates in Canada
Free Thoughts About Iran

Iran Expert - News about Iran updated continuously.

Payvand
The Iranian

Ami Isseroff
Rehovot,
Israel

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