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Vol 1 #38:   May 8, 1999 - Updated May 10

Media Seminar | Essay - Solving the Palestinian/Israeli Conflict |   Barak Leads | Features

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Peace Poll - Most PeaceWatch readers seem to think Palestinians did the right  thing by postponing the statehood declaration. What do you think?

Orient House Closing [May 11] - An Israeli Supreme Court injunction obtained by the Ir Shalem group delayed closing of Orient House until a hearing to be held after the elections next week. Earlier, efter  negotiations for a compromise solution broke down, the Israeli government announced that closure orders will be issued against three offices of the Palestine National Authority in the Orient House in East Jerusalem. <more>

Palestinians Pessimistic [May 8] - Palestinians are pessimistic about peace following postponement of the statehood declaration and orders to close Orient House. A majority of Palestinians thought the postponement of statehood was a mistake. <Opinion Poll Results>

An outsider looks at the Palestinian - Israeli Conflict - Anyone interested in creative solutions to the Palestinian-Israeli conflict must read this essay by Matthew Hogan PEACEMAKING VIA NON-IDEOLOGY or CONFESSIONS OF A PRO-ISRAEL ANTI-ZIONIST.

New - The PEACE Deir Yassin Memorial Web site - history of a massacre that some people try to deny - has been updated. The update includes an English translation of the original Red Cross report available for the first time, and reflections on how the issue - and the Web site have been exploited and misunderstood by both sides.

Barak Lead Growing - [May 11] Latest opinion polls show candidate Israeli PM Candidate Ehud Barak taking a decisive lead of up to 17 percent (according to Israel Channel 2) or 13 percent (according to Israel TV Channel 1. A poll of a larger sample, taken May 7 showed a 12 point lead in the Israeli election campaign. The polls also show that both Barak's One Israel party and the leftist Meretz party are gaining support, while the center and right are losing. Both Arieh Deri's Shas party, and the anti-religious Shinui party of journalist Tommy Lapid are gaining seats in the Knesset. Lapid, a political novice who started his campaign at the last moment before the elections and has very little television time, may get as many as 6 Knesset seats!. These results should be treated with utmost caution. In 1996 the polls showed Shimon Peres with a similar lead, at an earlier date, though he went on to lose the election.  A Givat Haviva study released earlier this week shows that only 62% of Israeli Arabs plan to vote in the crucial run off elections - Arabs would vote overwhelmingly against PM Nethanyahu. Right-wing votes are consistenly under-reported in the polls for various reasons.  The casting of blank ballots by many Arabs and Jewish radicals could also have a decisive effect.   Blank Ballots - Essay. However, Barak's lead has been building steadily over several weeks, while Peres's was dwindling in the final days of the 1996 campaign. Factors:

  • The One Israel party has run an astute campaign, stressing Barak's military record and patriotism, thereby successfully winning the labile vote of Russian immigrants.

  • Nethanyahu's Likud party is using the same tactics they used against Peres in 1996, but some of their efforts have backfired. Notably, they tried to use a silly remark by entertainer Tiki Dayan to show that the One Israel party is 'elitist.'

  • Israelis are not buying Nethanyahu's claim that he is responsible for getting the PNA to postpone declaration of a Palestinian state.

Detailed Poll results: [May 7 polls]

Palestinian State [May 4] - Palestinian leaders showed good sense and moderation in refraining from declaring a state today. The PLO Executive Council  decided to postpone their decision on declaration of a Palestinian state until after the Israeli elections. The move came after President Clinton sent Yasser Arafat a letter recognizing Palestinian rights and promissing to renew the peace process negotiations after the next elections, with a view to concluding an agreement within a year. If PM Nethanyahu is re-elected, they will declare a state. If Barak or Mordehai are elected, the Palestinians will allow a grace period to 'give peace a chance.'' The Nethanyahu government is claiming this as a 'victory,' but nobody should have any illusions about what will probably happen after the elections if Nethanyahu stays in power. Tell us what you think:should Palestinians declare a state unilaterally? Kosovo poll - most  favored use of ground troops now.  Click to vote and to view previous results.        

The Mideast Humor page has been updated!

Kosova and the Arab World - Adel Darwish reveals close support and warm relations of Muammar Gadaffi and Serbian regime of Milosevic. Gadaffi has reportedly been supplying oil to Yugoslavia in defiance of the international embargo as part of an ongoing relationship. More at The Scotsmen

Blank Ballots: What is all this Work to You? - Israeli Jewish and Arab radicals will cast an estimated 100,000 blank ballots in the next election, which just might be enough to reelect Bibi Nethanyahu, just as it was decisive in getting him elected in 1996. Essay

Feature - Palestinian - Israeli Media Seminar sponsored by Yakar and PACE offers insights, a chance for dialog and perhaps - improved cooperation. A first hand report.

Mideast News Sites - News Links  had been updates with links to numerous Mid-East news services and journals. Besa is an internationally recognized scholarly journal on the Middle East with in-depth analyses and news of conferences and other activitivies. JMCC provides daily translations from the Palestinian press and a subscription news service.

Elections and Jews Abroad - A recent article in the Israeli newspaper Yediot Ahronot alleges that Australian millionaire Yosef Gutnick has paid generous sums to Likud politicians in order to stop compliance with the Wye accords. Mervyn Cassidy explains how money from abroad is being used to influence the elections.  Murray Polner discusses how Jews in USA and elsewhere view the Israeli elections. Click 4 More

Jerusalem - Beloved and divided city - PEACE participants and guests are invited to contribute articles - your personal views of Jerusalem and how to make it a real city of peace. Click 4 More

Water and Politics - How water and politics mix poorly in the Middle East.More

Virtual Reality - As the Israeli economy declines and the 'Peace Process' heads for a bloody denouement, right wing Israeli commentators try to find a silver lining and pretend that everything is fine. A very dangerous game!

 

KOSOVA

  Links to Kosova and Serb sites - news, documentation, opinion

syugo.jpg (1637 bytes) Kosova and the Arab World - Adel Darwish reveals close support and warm relations of Muammar Gadaffi and Serbian regime of Milosevic. Gadaffi has reportedly been supplying oil to Yugoslavia in defiance of the international embargo as part of an ongoing relationship. More at The Scotsmen
Enlarged map

Relief Efforts - International relief efforts continue - Saudi, Iranian and Israeli relief planes are unloading supplies for Kosovo side by side. A first group of refugees arrived in Israel April 12, and got initial aid of about $9,000 per family plus housing. The government plans for them to stay six months, but refugees from Bosnia are still here after several years. Their children speak perfect Hebrew. They want to go 'home' but home does not exist any more.  How Israelis can help

Estimates of refugee totals since the conflict began range from 800,000 to over 1.1 million. It is not known how many of these people left after the bombing began. The European Union has promised to take in 100,000 refugees,  the U.S. 20,000, and Albania and Canada 5,000. Planes have begun airlifting refugees to US, Norway, Turkey and other destinations.

Israeli Relief Efforts

Contributions may be made through Teleclal number 1212 332555. The Jewish Agency is   preparing three planeloads of supplies. Supplies (blankets are needed most) may be brought to Jewish Agency offices in Tel Aviv and Jerusalem. Israel is also airlifting an entire field hospital. The 'Lahtet' organization in cooperation with the Jewish Agency and the Kibbutz Artzi have collected 40 tons of aid for Kosovo victims. Money may be donated at telephone 03-7315750 or to Bank Hapoalim account 012502 249595.

 Palestine-Israel-Zionism -History and Documents  More Israel-Palestine Documents

Israeli election commentary: www.ariga.com    Party Time     Mirages

Mid-East News Service - In Depth Background on Regional Issues

What is PEACE?

PEACE is a Mid - East Dialog Group commited to peace and neighborly relations.We have no official political opinions. PEACE was started by Ameen Hannoun, a Jordanian/Palestinian and Ami Isseroff, an Israeli. You are welcome to join, and to contribute ariticles and ideas for promoting peace and dialog.  More about PEACE.

Copyright 1998 by the authors and the PEACE group. May be reproduced intact provided that credit is given to the authors, and to the PEACE Mid-East Dialog Group, including addresses listed at the bottom.   

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Palestine-Israel-Zionism -History and Documents Additional documents at  Middle East History Pages of MidEast Web Middle East News Views History

and  Zionist source documents at Zionism and Israel Information Center

Background:

History of the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict

History of Zionism and the Creation of Israel (from a Zionist point of view)

Zionism - a history and brief definition

Israel-Palestina - (Dutch) Middle East Conflict, Israel, Palestine,Zionism... Israël-Palestina Informatie -gids Israël, Zionisme, Palestijnen en Midden-Oosten conflict...  (Mostly in Dutch)

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